Posted by: nhfalcon | February 4, 2007

Hope For The Underdog…

It really surprises me how many people think this Super Bowl is just an automatic victory for the Colts. A number of them think it’s gonna be a blow-out. That amazing Colt offense, Peyton Manning is light years better than Rex Grossman, etc., etc., etc…

Now, don’t get me wrong – I think the Colts are going to win, too. I want them to win. I am completely in Manning’s corner today. That being said, there are a number of factors, both tangible and intangible, that I think give the Bears a legitimate shot at winning this game:

1) only one dome team in the history of the Super Bowl has ever won it – the Rams of Super Bowl 34 (I hate using Roman numerals 🙂 ). The Colts are a dome team, and a strong argument can be made that that Ram team was better than these Colts.

2) conventional wisdom says running the ball and defense wins championships in football. That describes the Bears to a tee. The Colts throw the ball and gave up 360 points this year (over 22 points a game).

3) conventional wisdom says physical teams play better than finesse teams in the postseason. The Bears are physical, the Colts are finesse.

4) in an earlier post I pointed out that the Bears have a phenomenal kick / punt returner and that the Colts return coverage teams are abyssmal. If the Bears can win the field position, time of possession, and turnover battles (which they have a good chance of doing) then they can pull off this upset.

5) speaking of upsets, it’s not like they haven’t happened before in the Super Bowl. Remember Joe Namath’s Jets over the Colts in Super Bowl 3? How about the Pats over the Rams in Super Bowl 36?

6) enough of the Peyton Manning vs. Rex Grossman stuff. They’re not playing directly against each other. Average to below average quarterbacks have won Super Bowls (Trent Dilfer, Doug Williams, Jim McMahon) and great ones have not (Dan Marino, Jim Kelly, Fran Tarkenton).

7) the weather forecast in Miami for tonight says rain and some wind – conditions that favor the Bears

8 ) reports out of Miami say the Bears have been very loose and relaxed during practices and media session, while the Colts appear very “businesslike.” Maybe the Colts are a bit wound up and feeling the pressure a little too much?

Stranger things have happened…

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